Assessing Probability of Inferences Questions and Answers Flashcards
7 cards from real Watson-Glaser Critical Thinking Appraisal practice questions. Tap to flip, then mark Knew It or Still Learning — missed cards come back until you master them.
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A company's sales increased 15% in Q1 but fell 8% in Q2. Inference: The company's annual sales will be lower than last year.
Answer: Insufficient Data
Without Q3 and Q4 data, we cannot determine whether full-year sales will end up higher or lower than last year.
All employees at Firm X received a performance bonus last December. Marcus works at Firm X. Inference: Marcus received a performance bonus last December.
Answer: True
Since every employee received the bonus and Marcus is an employee of Firm X, this inference follows with certainty.
A survey showed 70% of customers who used Product X were satisfied. Inference: Most customers who purchase Product X will be satisfied.
Answer: Probably True
Seventy percent constitutes a majority, and survey data is a reasonable predictor, making this inference probably but not certainly true.
Unemployment in City Y dropped from 9% to 5% over three years. Inference: The mayor implemented effective economic policies.
Answer: Insufficient Data
The drop could stem from national trends, new industry arrivals, or other factors unrelated to the mayor's specific policies.
A restaurant received three consecutive one-star reviews this week. Inference: The restaurant's food quality has declined.
Answer: Insufficient Data
The reviews may reflect service, pricing, or atmosphere issues, and we have no direct evidence about food quality specifically.
Every student who scored above 90% on the midterm had studied at least 10 hours. Sarah studied 12 hours. Inference: Sarah scored above 90% on the midterm.
Answer: Insufficient Data
The statement describes what high scorers did, not that everyone who studies 10+ hours will score above 90%.
No parking violations were recorded in District Z last month. Inference: Residents of District Z always follow parking rules.
Answer: Insufficient Data
One month without recorded violations could reflect better enforcement or lower traffic volume, not a permanent behavioral pattern.