Problem Solving & Decision Making Flashcards
7 cards from real CPL practice questions. Tap to flip, then mark Knew It or Still Learning โ missed cards come back until you master them.
Read the first 7 Problem Solving & Decision Making flashcards as text
A program leader is evaluating three alternative strategies. One option has the highest expected value but also the highest variance in outcomes. What concept describes this trade-off?
Answer: Risk-return trade-off
The risk-return trade-off reflects that higher potential returns typically come with greater uncertainty or variability.
Which cognitive bias causes a program leader to give more weight to the first piece of information received when making a decision?
Answer: Anchoring bias
Anchoring bias occurs when the first data point disproportionately influences subsequent judgments.
A program leader applies the '5 Whys' technique. What is the PRIMARY goal of this approach?
Answer: To drill down to the root cause by repeatedly asking why
The 5 Whys iteratively questions each answer to surface the underlying root cause rather than treating symptoms.
In a program governance meeting, the steering committee cannot reach consensus on a critical path decision. What is the program leader's BEST course of action?
Answer: Present structured options with analysis to facilitate a facilitated decision
Providing structured analysis and facilitating discussion helps governing bodies make timely, informed decisions.
A program encounters an unexpected regulatory change that threatens a key deliverable. Using a structured problem-solving approach, what should the program leader do FIRST?
Answer: Clearly define and document the problem and its scope
Structured problem solving always begins with a clear problem definition to avoid solving the wrong issue.
Which tool allows a program leader to visually compare multiple decision alternatives across several weighted criteria?
Answer: Weighted decision matrix
A weighted decision matrix scores and compares alternatives against criteria with assigned importance weights.
Sunk cost fallacy in program decision making refers to the tendency to:
Answer: Continue investing in a failing initiative because of past expenditures
Sunk cost fallacy causes decision makers to justify continued investment based on irrecoverable past costs rather than future value.